This is the question everyone relocating to 89183 asks: should I buy now, or wait? Nobody can predict the market perfectly, but here's what the data and trends suggest as of early 2026.
Where Prices Are Right Now
The median home price in 89183 is approximately $415,000. This represents a roughly 5-6% increase over 2025, which itself was up about 4% from 2024. The trend has been steady appreciation without the wild swings of 2020-2022.
For context:
- In 2020, the median was around $310,000
- In 2022 (peak), it hit about $420,000
- It dipped slightly in 2023 to around $380,000
- It's recovered to roughly $415,000 in early 2026
Interest Rates
This is the elephant in the room. Mortgage rates have been hovering in the 6.25-6.75% range for 30-year fixed loans as of early 2026. That's down from the 7.5%+ peak but still well above the 2.75-3.5% rates that spoiled everyone in 2020-2021.
On a $415,000 home with 20% down ($83,000), you're looking at:
- At 6.5%: ~$2,098/month principal and interest
- At 5.5% (if rates drop): ~$1,885/month
- At 3.5% (2021 rates, for comparison): ~$1,491/month
The "Wait for Lower Rates" Argument
A lot of people are sitting on the sidelines waiting for rates to drop. Here's why that strategy has risks:
When rates drop, demand surges. Lower rates mean more buyers can qualify, which means more competition, which drives prices up. You might save on interest but pay more for the house itself. You can refinance a rate, but you can't renegotiate a purchase price. If you buy now at $415K and rates drop to 5.5% next year, you refinance and lower your payment. But if you wait, the house might cost $440K by then — and even with a lower rate, your total cost is higher.The real estate saying "marry the house, date the rate" exists for a reason.
Inventory and Competition
89183 inventory has been gradually improving. There are more homes listed now than there were during the 2021-2022 frenzy, which means:
- Less pressure to make offers above asking price
- More negotiating room on closing costs
- Fewer bidding wars
- More time to make decisions without panic
Who Should Buy Now
Buy now if:- You're renting and plan to stay in the area for 5+ years
- You have a stable income and can afford the payment at current rates
- You've found a home you like in a location you want
- You have 10-20% for a down payment
- You understand you can refinance if rates drop
- You're not sure you'll stay in Las Vegas long-term (less than 3 years)
- You'd be stretching your budget uncomfortably to buy at current rates
- You haven't saved enough for a reasonable down payment
- You're hoping for a crash (possible but unlikely in 89183 — population growth keeps a floor under prices)
Renting vs. Buying Math
For a comparable 3-bedroom home in 89183:
- Rent: ~$1,400-$1,800/month (no equity, no tax benefits, subject to annual increases)
- Buy ($415K at 6.5%, 20% down): ~$2,500-$2,700/month (with taxes, insurance, and HOA)
If you plan to stay 5+ years, buying almost always wins — even at 6.5% rates.
My Take
I wouldn't try to time the market. If you find the right home at a price you can comfortably afford, buy it. Rates will fluctuate, prices will move, but having a stable home base that you own and can improve on your terms is valuable in ways that spreadsheets don't fully capture.
89183 has strong fundamentals: population growth, limited land supply (mountains and federal land surround the valley), good schools, and a diversifying economy. These factors support long-term appreciation regardless of short-term rate movements.